Пост будущего будет опубликован 2026-09-27 23:54:28.
Bitcoin and the US Dollar Index are rising in sync. This unusual movement has drawn significant attention from traders and analysts, who have long relied on the inverse relationship between these two assets for their assessments.
Since early August, Bitcoin has surged from around $63,000 to a recent high near $87,000 before easing slightly, now trading around $84,600. Over the same period, the US Dollar Index climbed from a low near 98.40 in early September to above 101.00. This simultaneous strength breaks a long-standing pattern in which Bitcoin typically rises when the dollar weakens, and vice versa.
Bitcoin and gold have long been viewed as hedges against dollar weakness, especially during periods of expected monetary easing or fiscal uncertainty. When Bitcoin rises alongside the dollar, it suggests other forces are overriding the traditional dollar-crypto price dynamic—factors that may include rising risk appetite, institutional capital flows, or Bitcoin-specific catalysts.
This rally caps Bitcoin’s second-best performing third quarter on record. According to Pluang citing CoinGlass data, Bitcoin posted a cumulative decline of over 36% in the first half of 2026, yet rebounded sharply in the third quarter with gains of approximately 43.5%.
Despite the striking divergence, analysts warn against overinterpreting a single overlapping rally. Across multiple cycles, the relationship between Bitcoin and the US Dollar Index (DXY) has fluctuated between weakening and reaffirming, with brief periods of positive correlation that never overturned the broader inverse trend.
U.Today’s Arman Shirinyan wrote: “For now, the simultaneous strength of the US Dollar Index and Bitcoin appears more like a temporary decoupling than a shift in the long-term pattern.” He noted that more meaningful signals will emerge in the coming weeks if the dollar continues to climb while Bitcoin holds its gains or experiences a pullback.
Traders are now focusing on upcoming major macroeconomic catalysts—Federal Reserve policy statements, inflation data, and shifts in market risk sentiment—to determine whether Bitcoin’s rally can continue independently of dollar movements or whether the historical inverse relationship will reassert itself.